The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal
Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal
$413,257 Vol.
12 may 2026
Finlandia
98%
Suecia
94%
Grecia
94%
Israel
89%
Croacia
83%
Moldavia
83%
Lituania
72%
Serbia
69%
Polonia
53%
Bélgica
52%
Montenegro
57%
Georgia
47%
Portugal
32%
Estonia
21%
San Marino
14%
$413,257 Vol.
Finlandia
$328,580 Vol.
98%
Suecia
$1,467 Vol.
94%
Grecia
$4,018 Vol.
94%
Israel
$19,535 Vol.
89%
Croacia
$2,256 Vol.
83%
Moldavia
$1,426 Vol.
83%
Lituania
$2,591 Vol.
72%
Serbia
$839 Vol.
69%
Polonia
$7,240 Vol.
53%
Bélgica
$6,224 Vol.
52%
Montenegro
$1,414 Vol.
57%
Georgia
$166 Vol.
47%
Portugal
$30,880 Vol.
32%
Estonia
$1,574 Vol.
21%
San Marino
$5,045 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volumen
$413,257Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$413,257Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The First Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026, set for May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations alongside pre-qualified Germany and Italy, who perform and vote but auto-advance to the final. With all entries revealed by mid-March—highlighting Nordic standouts like Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," Sweden's Felicia Eriksson's "My System," and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja comeback "Too Epic To Be True"—trader sentiment favors these for qualification, driven by strong preview buzz at recent Nordic Eurovision parties and early betting odds crowning Finland as the semi frontrunner. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Croatia's Andromeda Lelek ("Andromeda") also build momentum via streaming traction, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") faces headwinds from ongoing boycott controversies. Running order awaits reveal, with stand-in rehearsals underway; top 10 advance amid jury-televote split and EBU voting safeguards.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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