Market icon

Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

Market icon

Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

$408,989 Vol.

12 may 2026
Polymarket

$408,989 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finlandia

$326,452 Vol.

96%

Market icon

Suecia

$1,255 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Grecia

$3,967 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Israel

$19,519 Vol.

88%

Market icon

Moldavia

$0 Vol.

82%

Market icon

Croacia

$2,256 Vol.

82%

Market icon

Serbia

$837 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Lituania

$2,309 Vol.

65%

Market icon

Polonia

$7,153 Vol.

55%

Market icon

Montenegro

$1,414 Vol.

57%

Market icon

Georgia

$166 Vol.

45%

Market icon

Bélgica

$6,160 Vol.

50%

Market icon

Portugal

$30,880 Vol.

32%

Market icon

Estonia

$1,574 Vol.

20%

Market icon

San Marino

$5,045 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$408,989
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$408,989
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 96%, seguido de "Suecia" con 94%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" ha generado $409K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" es "Finlandia" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Suecia" con 94%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.