Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 70% implied probability for Bluebaum vs. Esipenko in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the solid defenses on display in the double round-robin format where all four Round 2 games ended level on March 30. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with draws against Wei Yi and Javokhir Sindarov, accumulating 1 point from 2, while Esipenko salvaged a crucial half-point draw versus Hikaru Nakamura after his Round 1 loss to Sindarov, sitting at 0.5/2. The evenly matched grandmasters—both rated 2698—enter with Bluebaum holding white's slight initiative, but traders price competitive win chances near 28% each amid Candidates-level caution prioritizing stability over risks early in the 14-round event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoDraw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko) 69%
Andrey Esipenko 43%
Matthias Bluebaum 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
Matthias Bluebaum
28%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko)
69%
Andrey Esipenko
25%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko) 69%
Andrey Esipenko 43%
Matthias Bluebaum 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
Matthias Bluebaum
$0 Vol.
28%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko)
$2 Vol.
69%
Andrey Esipenko
$17 Vol.
25%
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 70% implied probability for Bluebaum vs. Esipenko in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the solid defenses on display in the double round-robin format where all four Round 2 games ended level on March 30. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with draws against Wei Yi and Javokhir Sindarov, accumulating 1 point from 2, while Esipenko salvaged a crucial half-point draw versus Hikaru Nakamura after his Round 1 loss to Sindarov, sitting at 0.5/2. The evenly matched grandmasters—both rated 2698—enter with Bluebaum holding white's slight initiative, but traders price competitive win chances near 28% each amid Candidates-level caution prioritizing stability over risks early in the 14-round event.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 70% implied probability for Bluebaum vs. Esipenko in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the solid defenses on display in the double round-robin format where all four Round 2 games ended level on March 30. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with draws against Wei Yi and Javokhir Sindarov, accumulating 1 point from 2, while Esipenko salvaged a crucial half-point draw versus Hikaru Nakamura after his Round 1 loss to Sindarov, sitting at 0.5/2. The evenly matched grandmasters—both rated 2698—enter with Bluebaum holding white's slight initiative, but traders price competitive win chances near 28% each amid Candidates-level caution prioritizing stability over risks early in the 14-round event.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 70% implied probability for Bluebaum vs. Esipenko in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the solid defenses on display in the double round-robin format where all four Round 2 games ended level on March 30. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with draws against Wei Yi and Javokhir Sindarov, accumulating 1 point from 2, while Esipenko salvaged a crucial half-point draw versus Hikaru Nakamura after his Round 1 loss to Sindarov, sitting at 0.5/2. The evenly matched grandmasters—both rated 2698—enter with Bluebaum holding white's slight initiative, but traders price competitive win chances near 28% each amid Candidates-level caution prioritizing stability over risks early in the 14-round event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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