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¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?

Market icon

¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?

Mar 20

Mar 20

$23,479 Vol.

Apr 3, 2026
Polymarket

$23,479 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

3 de abril

$10,459 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has encountered several partial outages in March 2026, including high error rates for ChatGPT 5.4 Pro on March 17, message-sending failures on March 5, and artifact generation disruptions on March 26, per the official status page. These stem from configuration rollouts, surging user demand, and infrastructure scaling amid explosive growth in large language model adoption. February's broader disruptions, peaking at over 13,000 reports, highlighted similar vulnerabilities, while competitors like Anthropic's Claude faced AWS-linked issues. Trader consensus weighs this pattern against OpenAI's mitigation efforts; watch status.openai.com and Downdetector for resolution-defining spikes, plus potential strain from new AI feature rollouts or peak traffic.

OpenAI's ChatGPT has encountered several partial outages in March 2026, including high error rates for ChatGPT 5.4 Pro on March 17, message-sending failures on March 5, and artifact generation disruptions on March 26, per the official status page. These stem from configuration rollouts, surging user demand, and infrastructure scaling amid explosive growth in large language model adoption. February's broader disruptions, peaking at over 13,000 reports, highlighted similar vulnerabilities, while competitors like Anthropic's Claude faced AWS-linked issues. Trader consensus weighs this pattern against OpenAI's mitigation efforts; watch status.openai.com and Downdetector for resolution-defining spikes, plus potential strain from new AI feature rollouts or peak traffic.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has encountered several partial outages in March 2026, including high error rates for ChatGPT 5.4 Pro on March 17, message-sending failures on March 5, and artifact generation disruptions on March 26, per the official status page. These stem from configuration rollouts, surging user demand, and infrastructure scaling amid explosive growth in large language model adoption. February's broader disruptions, peaking at over 13,000 reports, highlighted similar vulnerabilities, while competitors like Anthropic's Claude faced AWS-linked issues. Trader consensus weighs this pattern against OpenAI's mitigation efforts; watch status.openai.com and Downdetector for resolution-defining spikes, plus potential strain from new AI feature rollouts or peak traffic.

OpenAI's ChatGPT has encountered several partial outages in March 2026, including high error rates for ChatGPT 5.4 Pro on March 17, message-sending failures on March 5, and artifact generation disruptions on March 26, per the official status page. These stem from configuration rollouts, surging user demand, and infrastructure scaling amid explosive growth in large language model adoption. February's broader disruptions, peaking at over 13,000 reports, highlighted similar vulnerabilities, while competitors like Anthropic's Claude faced AWS-linked issues. Trader consensus weighs this pattern against OpenAI's mitigation efforts; watch status.openai.com and Downdetector for resolution-defining spikes, plus potential strain from new AI feature rollouts or peak traffic.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "3 de abril" con 25%, seguido de "20 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?" ha generado $23.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 18, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?" es "3 de abril" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "20 de marzo" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Interrupción de ChatGPT por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.