OpenAI's latest reasoning models, o1-preview and o1-mini, have demonstrated marked improvements in mathematical reasoning but score only around 2% on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 199 advanced problems curated by Epoch AI to probe frontier AI limits beyond International Math Olympiad level. Released in September 2024, these large language models (LLMs) prioritize chain-of-thought reasoning, yet fall short against competitors like Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (under 3%) and Google's Gemini variants, reflecting persistent challenges in symbolic math and novel proofs despite scaling compute. Trader sentiment hinges on OpenAI's teased "Orion" successor to GPT-4o, potentially launching early 2025 with 10x training scale, amid competitive races from xAI and DeepMind; key catalysts include January developer previews or benchmark updates, with resolution tied to public leaderboard scores exceeding market thresholds by June 30, 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNEW
Feb 28, 2026
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest reasoning models, o1-preview and o1-mini, have demonstrated marked improvements in mathematical reasoning but score only around 2% on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 199 advanced problems curated by Epoch AI to probe frontier AI limits beyond International Math Olympiad level. Released in September 2024, these large language models (LLMs) prioritize chain-of-thought reasoning, yet fall short against competitors like Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (under 3%) and Google's Gemini variants, reflecting persistent challenges in symbolic math and novel proofs despite scaling compute. Trader sentiment hinges on OpenAI's teased "Orion" successor to GPT-4o, potentially launching early 2025 with 10x training scale, amid competitive races from xAI and DeepMind; key catalysts include January developer previews or benchmark updates, with resolution tied to public leaderboard scores exceeding market thresholds by June 30, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest reasoning models, o1-preview and o1-mini, have demonstrated marked improvements in mathematical reasoning but score only around 2% on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 199 advanced problems curated by Epoch AI to probe frontier AI limits beyond International Math Olympiad level. Released in September 2024, these large language models (LLMs) prioritize chain-of-thought reasoning, yet fall short against competitors like Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (under 3%) and Google's Gemini variants, reflecting persistent challenges in symbolic math and novel proofs despite scaling compute. Trader sentiment hinges on OpenAI's teased "Orion" successor to GPT-4o, potentially launching early 2025 with 10x training scale, amid competitive races from xAI and DeepMind; key catalysts include January developer previews or benchmark updates, with resolution tied to public leaderboard scores exceeding market thresholds by June 30, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's latest reasoning models, o1-preview and o1-mini, have demonstrated marked improvements in mathematical reasoning but score only around 2% on the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of 199 advanced problems curated by Epoch AI to probe frontier AI limits beyond International Math Olympiad level. Released in September 2024, these large language models (LLMs) prioritize chain-of-thought reasoning, yet fall short against competitors like Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (under 3%) and Google's Gemini variants, reflecting persistent challenges in symbolic math and novel proofs despite scaling compute. Trader sentiment hinges on OpenAI's teased "Orion" successor to GPT-4o, potentially launching early 2025 with 10x training scale, amid competitive races from xAI and DeepMind; key catalysts include January developer previews or benchmark updates, with resolution tied to public leaderboard scores exceeding market thresholds by June 30, 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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