OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism by setting a FrontierMath leaderboard record at 47.6% overall—50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on the brutally difficult Tier 4—surpassing prior highs like GPT-5.2's 31% on Tier 4. Notably, it solved one open research problem, verified by mathematicians, highlighting breakthroughs in advanced mathematical reasoning for large language models. This rapid iteration amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini underscores accelerating AI capabilities, though the benchmark's unsolved research-level problems cap implied probabilities. Traders eye potential GPT-5.5 or o1 successor announcements before June 30, alongside Epoch AI updates, as key catalysts for score thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$20,267 Vol.
28 feb 2026
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$20,267 Vol.
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$18,675 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism by setting a FrontierMath leaderboard record at 47.6% overall—50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on the brutally difficult Tier 4—surpassing prior highs like GPT-5.2's 31% on Tier 4. Notably, it solved one open research problem, verified by mathematicians, highlighting breakthroughs in advanced mathematical reasoning for large language models. This rapid iteration amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini underscores accelerating AI capabilities, though the benchmark's unsolved research-level problems cap implied probabilities. Traders eye potential GPT-5.5 or o1 successor announcements before June 30, alongside Epoch AI updates, as key catalysts for score thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volumen
$20,267Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism by setting a FrontierMath leaderboard record at 47.6% overall—50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on the brutally difficult Tier 4—surpassing prior highs like GPT-5.2's 31% on Tier 4. Notably, it solved one open research problem, verified by mathematicians, highlighting breakthroughs in advanced mathematical reasoning for large language models. This rapid iteration amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini underscores accelerating AI capabilities, though the benchmark's unsolved research-level problems cap implied probabilities. Traders eye potential GPT-5.5 or o1 successor announcements before June 30, alongside Epoch AI updates, as key catalysts for score thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$20,267Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released in early March 2026, has driven trader optimism by setting a FrontierMath leaderboard record at 47.6% overall—50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on the brutally difficult Tier 4—surpassing prior highs like GPT-5.2's 31% on Tier 4. Notably, it solved one open research problem, verified by mathematicians, highlighting breakthroughs in advanced mathematical reasoning for large language models. This rapid iteration amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini underscores accelerating AI capabilities, though the benchmark's unsolved research-level problems cap implied probabilities. Traders eye potential GPT-5.5 or o1 successor announcements before June 30, alongside Epoch AI updates, as key catalysts for score thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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