OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained relative stability since a minor incident on March 31, when elevated failures affected some users starting conversations, per the official status page—stopping short of a full outage classification that would trigger market resolutions. This follows a major disruption February 3-4 impacting tens of thousands amid peak demand, highlighting ongoing scaling challenges from surging traffic and compute-intensive large language model operations. Trader sentiment reflects wariness of infrastructure strains, competitive pressures like Anthropic's recent Claude outages, and unannounced backend updates, with eyes on OpenAI's status updates and potential earnings disclosures as catalysts for the next partial or full outage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$26,955 Vol.
6 abr 2026
3 de abril
12%
10 de abril
51%
17 de abril
67%
$26,955 Vol.
3 de abril
$13,731 Vol.
12%
10 de abril
$203 Vol.
51%
17 de abril
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained relative stability since a minor incident on March 31, when elevated failures affected some users starting conversations, per the official status page—stopping short of a full outage classification that would trigger market resolutions. This follows a major disruption February 3-4 impacting tens of thousands amid peak demand, highlighting ongoing scaling challenges from surging traffic and compute-intensive large language model operations. Trader sentiment reflects wariness of infrastructure strains, competitive pressures like Anthropic's recent Claude outages, and unannounced backend updates, with eyes on OpenAI's status updates and potential earnings disclosures as catalysts for the next partial or full outage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Volumen
$26,955Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained relative stability since a minor incident on March 31, when elevated failures affected some users starting conversations, per the official status page—stopping short of a full outage classification that would trigger market resolutions. This follows a major disruption February 3-4 impacting tens of thousands amid peak demand, highlighting ongoing scaling challenges from surging traffic and compute-intensive large language model operations. Trader sentiment reflects wariness of infrastructure strains, competitive pressures like Anthropic's recent Claude outages, and unannounced backend updates, with eyes on OpenAI's status updates and potential earnings disclosures as catalysts for the next partial or full outage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,955Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has maintained relative stability since a minor incident on March 31, when elevated failures affected some users starting conversations, per the official status page—stopping short of a full outage classification that would trigger market resolutions. This follows a major disruption February 3-4 impacting tens of thousands amid peak demand, highlighting ongoing scaling challenges from surging traffic and compute-intensive large language model operations. Trader sentiment reflects wariness of infrastructure strains, competitive pressures like Anthropic's recent Claude outages, and unannounced backend updates, with eyes on OpenAI's status updates and potential earnings disclosures as catalysts for the next partial or full outage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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