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Mundo·Australia

Australia Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
Mundo·Australia

Australia Parliamentary Election Winner

Labour 100.0%

Greens <1%

Other <1%

Liberal–National <1%

Polymarket

$4,010,004 Vol.

Labour 100.0%

Greens <1%

Other <1%

Liberal–National <1%

Polymarket

$4,010,004 Vol.

Market icon

Greens

$433,625 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other

$829,050 Vol.

No

Market icon

Liberal–National

$1,024,173 Vol.

No

Market icon

Labour

$1,723,155 Vol.

Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the Greens, Labour, or Liberal-National coaltion controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal–National Coalition controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives
(Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election.

If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Volumen
$4,010,004
Fecha de finalización
May 3, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the Greens, Labour, or Liberal-National coaltion controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal–National Coalition controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party. The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Labor Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Australia Parliamentary Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Labour" con 100%, seguido de "Greens" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Australia Parliamentary Election Winner" ha generado $4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Australia Parliamentary Election Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Australia Parliamentary Election Winner" es "Labour" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Greens" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Australia Parliamentary Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.