The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 Vol.
$3,002,585 Vol.
4 sep 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 Vol.
$3,002,585 Vol.
4 sep 2026
<20
$1,826 Vol.
No
20-39
$2,940 Vol.
No
40-59
$22,684 Vol.
No
60-79
$53,930 Vol.
No
80-99
$64,073 Vol.
No
100-119
$56,289 Vol.
No
120-139
$92,074 Vol.
No
140-159
$204,620 Vol.
No
160-179
$287,835 Vol.
No
180-199
$292,666 Vol.
No
200-219
$316,037 Vol.
No
220-239
$295,301 Vol.
Yes
240-259
$353,336 Vol.
No
260-279
$214,354 Vol.
No
280-299
$171,545 Vol.
No
300-319
$152,609 Vol.
No
320-339
$123,321 Vol.
No
340-359
$74,586 Vol.
No
360-379
$45,415 Vol.
No
380-399
$30,194 Vol.
No
400-419
$28,412 Vol.
No
420-439
$19,228 Vol.
No
440-459
$11,776 Vol.
No
460-479
$10,528 Vol.
No
480-499
$9,607 Vol.
No
500+
$67,398 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$3,002,585Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,002,585Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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