Mercedes' dominant W17 car has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of Polymarket's 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship trader consensus, with Russell at 42.5% implied probability ahead of Antonelli's 31.5% amid their intra-team title fight. Antonelli seized the points lead at 72-63 after his Japanese Grand Prix victory last week—his second win and youngest-ever championship lead—capitalizing on a safety car while Russell dropped to fourth via battery failure and pit misfortune despite prior Australia triumph and Shanghai Sprint success. Mercedes leads constructors by 45 points over Ferrari, sidelining Leclerc (6.8%) and distant challengers like Norris and Verstappen as underdogs with realistic upset potential if reliability falters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGeorge Russell 43%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 6.8%
Oscar Piastri 5.1%
$81,772,486 Vol.
$81,772,486 Vol.
George Russell
43%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 43%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 6.8%
Oscar Piastri 5.1%
$81,772,486 Vol.
$81,772,486 Vol.
George Russell
43%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' dominant W17 car has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of Polymarket's 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship trader consensus, with Russell at 42.5% implied probability ahead of Antonelli's 31.5% amid their intra-team title fight. Antonelli seized the points lead at 72-63 after his Japanese Grand Prix victory last week—his second win and youngest-ever championship lead—capitalizing on a safety car while Russell dropped to fourth via battery failure and pit misfortune despite prior Australia triumph and Shanghai Sprint success. Mercedes leads constructors by 45 points over Ferrari, sidelining Leclerc (6.8%) and distant challengers like Norris and Verstappen as underdogs with realistic upset potential if reliability falters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes