ScipioFabius
Beigetreten Aug 2023·3 Aufrufe
$25.37
Positionen Wert
$14.19
Größter Gewinn
149
Prognosen
Gewinn/Verlust
Letzter Tag
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Yes 45¢
10.0 Anteile$10.00$5.50 (122.22%)
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
Yes 50.2¢
6.0 Anteile$6.00$2.99 (99.34%)
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
No 34¢
4.3 Anteile$4.35$2.87 (194.11%)
Will Biden finish his term?
Yes 71.7¢
2.0 Anteile$2.02$0.57 (39.48%)
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?
No 85¢
2.0 Anteile$2.00$0.30 (17.65%)
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Yes 78¢
1.0 Anteile$1.00$0.22 (28.19%)
GPT-5 released in 2024?
No 45¢
0.4 Anteile$0.44$0.24 (122.2%)
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
No 91¢
0.3 Anteile$0.33$0.03 (9.87%)
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
No 91¢
0.3 Anteile$0.33$0.03 (9.87%)
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
No 61¢
0.3 Anteile$0.33$0.13 (63.9%)
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
No 86¢
0.2 Anteile$0.23$0.03 (16.25%)
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
No 92¢
0.2 Anteile$0.22$0.02 (8.65%)
Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?
No 93¢
0.2 Anteile$0.22$0.02 (7.5%)
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
No 78¢
0.1 Anteile$0.13$0.03 (28.2%)
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
No 80¢
0.1 Anteile$0.13$0.03 (25%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
No 93¢
0.1 Anteile$0.11$0.01 (7.5%)