$230,118 Vol.
$230,118 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
The 2025 National Defense Authorization Act provides $895.2 billion in FY 2025 funding for national defense (see: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fy25_ndaa_conference_executive_summary.pdf)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered.
If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.
The 2025 National Defense Authorization Act provides $895.2 billion in FY 2025 funding for national defense (see: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fy25_ndaa_conference_executive_summary.pdf)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered.
If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered.
If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.
Erstellt am: Jan 15, 2025, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$230,118Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025Erstellt am
Jan 15, 2025, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
$230,118 Vol.
$230,118 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
The 2025 National Defense Authorization Act provides $895.2 billion in FY 2025 funding for national defense (see: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fy25_ndaa_conference_executive_summary.pdf)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered.
If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.
The 2025 National Defense Authorization Act provides $895.2 billion in FY 2025 funding for national defense (see: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fy25_ndaa_conference_executive_summary.pdf)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered.
If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered.
If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.
Volumen
$230,118Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025Erstellt am
Jan 15, 2025, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Will Trump cut military spending?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will Trump cut military spending?" has generated $230.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will Trump cut military spending?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will Trump cut military spending?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will Trump cut military spending?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions