Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Russia control Chasiv Yar on May 9?

>99% chance

$25,590 Umsatz

Regeln

Russian forces have begun attacking the strategic city of Chasiv Yar, seeking to capture the eastern Ukrainian city by Russia's national Victory Day on May 9, 2024.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the Chasiv Yar railroad station located on Pryvokazlna Vulytsia on May 9, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered under Russian control if any part of the train station is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375). If the area is not shaded red on May 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Train+Station.png

Chasiv Yar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Ukraine+Location.png

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered permanently unavailable, information from Liveuamap (https://liveuamap.com/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and Liveuamap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$25,590
Enddatum
May 9, 2024
Erstellt am
Apr 17, 2024, 6:26 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: No

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Russia control Chasiv Yar on May 9?

>99% chance

$25,590 Umsatz

Über

Russian forces have begun attacking the strategic city of Chasiv Yar, seeking to capture the eastern Ukrainian city by Russia's national Victory Day on May 9, 2024.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the Chasiv Yar railroad station located on Pryvokazlna Vulytsia on May 9, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered under Russian control if any part of the train station is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375). If the area is not shaded red on May 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Train+Station.png

Chasiv Yar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Chasiv+Yar+Ukraine+Location.png

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered permanently unavailable, information from Liveuamap (https://liveuamap.com/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and Liveuamap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$25,590
Erstellt am
Apr 17, 2024, 6:26 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: No

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht vor externen Links.