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Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Market icon

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,680,675 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,680,675 Vol.

This is a market on how much 'Moana 2' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 27 - December 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Moana 2' (2024) grosses more than $200,000,000 on its 5-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,680,675
Enddatum
Dec 2, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM ET
This is a market on how much 'Moana 2' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 27 - December 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Moana 2' (2024) grosses more than $200,000,000 on its 5-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This is a market on how much 'Moana 2' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 27 - December 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Moana 2' (2024) grosses more than $200,000,000 on its 5-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by December 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,680,675
Enddatum
Dec 2, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM ET
This is a market on how much 'Moana 2' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 27 - December 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Moana 2' (2024) grosses more than $200,000,000 on its 5-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 22, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.