Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$3,575,077 Vol.
↑ $10.000
Nein
↑ $7.000
Nein
↑ $6.600
Nein
↑ $6.400
Nein
↑ $6.200
Nein
↑ 6.000 $
Nein
↑ 5.800 $
Nein
↑ $5.600
Nein
↑ $5.500
Nein
↑ 5.400 $
Nein
↓ $5.200
Ja
↓ $5.100
Ja
↓ $5.000
Ja
↓ $4.900
Ja
↓ $4.700
Ja
↓ $4.500
Ja
↓ $4.300
Nein
↓ 4.000 $
Nein
↓ 3.600 $
Nein
↓ $3.000
Nein
$3,575,077 Vol.
↑ $10.000
Nein
↑ $7.000
Nein
↑ $6.600
Nein
↑ $6.400
Nein
↑ $6.200
Nein
↑ 6.000 $
Nein
↑ 5.800 $
Nein
↑ $5.600
Nein
↑ $5.500
Nein
↑ 5.400 $
Nein
↓ $5.200
Ja
↓ $5.100
Ja
↓ $5.000
Ja
↓ $4.900
Ja
↓ $4.700
Ja
↓ $4.500
Ja
↓ $4.300
Nein
↓ 4.000 $
Nein
↓ 3.600 $
Nein
↓ $3.000
Nein
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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