FIFA's recent confirmation of the full 2026 World Cup match schedule, released yesterday with all 104 fixtures locked in across 11 U.S. host stadiums like MetLife, SoFi, AT&T, and Arrowhead, underpins trader consensus at 82.6% implied probability for no relocations. This follows FIFA's outright rejection of Iran's mid-March request to shift its group-stage games from U.S. venues to Mexico amid U.S.-Iran tensions and security fears. While host cities warned Congress of drone threats, human trafficking risks, and stalled federal funding last month, organizers express full confidence in U.S. security protocols, dismissing relocation as a last resort absent major escalations. Geopolitical noise persists, but unchanged venues signal stability for the North American tournament structure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
Ja
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...FIFA's recent confirmation of the full 2026 World Cup match schedule, released yesterday with all 104 fixtures locked in across 11 U.S. host stadiums like MetLife, SoFi, AT&T, and Arrowhead, underpins trader consensus at 82.6% implied probability for no relocations. This follows FIFA's outright rejection of Iran's mid-March request to shift its group-stage games from U.S. venues to Mexico amid U.S.-Iran tensions and security fears. While host cities warned Congress of drone threats, human trafficking risks, and stalled federal funding last month, organizers express full confidence in U.S. security protocols, dismissing relocation as a last resort absent major escalations. Geopolitical noise persists, but unchanged venues signal stability for the North American tournament structure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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