Europe's commanding depth of elite talent and recent triumphs, including Spain's Euro 2024 victory and France's consistent powerhouse status, anchor its 69.5% implied probability as the consensus favorite to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup. South America's 21.5% share reflects Argentina's defending champion pedigree from 2022 and Copa America 2024 success, bolstered by Brazil's resurgence in CONMEBOL qualifiers where Argentina leads and Ecuador surges. Africa's 3.9% nods to Morocco's 2022 semifinal run, but inconsistent CAF qualifying form tempers optimism. North America's host boost for USA, Canada, and Mexico yields just 2.5%, while Asia and Oceania trail due to shallower talent pools and grueling playoff paths, underscoring Europe's historical edge in producing World Cup winners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEuropa 70%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 3.9%
Nordamerika 2.6%
$1,273,577 Vol.
$1,273,577 Vol.
Europa
70%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
4%
Nordamerika
3%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
Europa 70%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 3.9%
Nordamerika 2.6%
$1,273,577 Vol.
$1,273,577 Vol.
Europa
70%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
4%
Nordamerika
3%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's commanding depth of elite talent and recent triumphs, including Spain's Euro 2024 victory and France's consistent powerhouse status, anchor its 69.5% implied probability as the consensus favorite to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup. South America's 21.5% share reflects Argentina's defending champion pedigree from 2022 and Copa America 2024 success, bolstered by Brazil's resurgence in CONMEBOL qualifiers where Argentina leads and Ecuador surges. Africa's 3.9% nods to Morocco's 2022 semifinal run, but inconsistent CAF qualifying form tempers optimism. North America's host boost for USA, Canada, and Mexico yields just 2.5%, while Asia and Oceania trail due to shallower talent pools and grueling playoff paths, underscoring Europe's historical edge in producing World Cup winners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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