Europe's unmatched depth of elite national teams, including recent Euro 2024 champion Spain, runners-up England, and powerhouses like France and Germany, anchors its 70.5% trader consensus as the likeliest 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting historical dominance with four of the last six titles. South America's 21.5% share stems from defending champions Argentina's Copa America 2024 repeat and Brazil's qualifying lead in CONMEBOL, where they hold top spots amid ongoing races. Africa's 4.0% gains from Morocco's 2022 semifinal run and CAF qualifier progress, while North America's 2.5% benefits from hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico's automatic berths in the expanded 48-team tournament. Asia and Oceania trail due to shallower talent pools, though more slots offer upset potential; no major qualifier shocks have shifted sentiment recently.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEuropa 71%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 4.0%
Nordamerika 2.5%
$1,112,984 Vol.
$1,112,984 Vol.
Europa
71%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
4%
Nordamerika
2%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
Europa 71%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 4.0%
Nordamerika 2.5%
$1,112,984 Vol.
$1,112,984 Vol.
Europa
71%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
4%
Nordamerika
2%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's unmatched depth of elite national teams, including recent Euro 2024 champion Spain, runners-up England, and powerhouses like France and Germany, anchors its 70.5% trader consensus as the likeliest 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting historical dominance with four of the last six titles. South America's 21.5% share stems from defending champions Argentina's Copa America 2024 repeat and Brazil's qualifying lead in CONMEBOL, where they hold top spots amid ongoing races. Africa's 4.0% gains from Morocco's 2022 semifinal run and CAF qualifier progress, while North America's 2.5% benefits from hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico's automatic berths in the expanded 48-team tournament. Asia and Oceania trail due to shallower talent pools, though more slots offer upset potential; no major qualifier shocks have shifted sentiment recently.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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