Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing March above 5,900, propelled by the Federal Reserve's dovish pivot with a September rate cut and projections for two more in 2025, bolstering soft-landing hopes amid cooling inflation at 2.4% CPI core in December. The index trades near 5,850, up 1.5% YTD, fueled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacaps like Nvidia amid AI demand surge. Watch March 12 CPI (forecast 2.6% YoY), March 19 FOMC dot plot for cut signals, and nonfarm payrolls on March 7, as hotter data could spark volatility and cap upside near 6,000 resistance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
$52,942 Vol.
↓ 5700
7%
↓ 5600
4%
↓ 5500
5%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
2%
↓ 4750
1%
$52,942 Vol.
↓ 5700
7%
↓ 5600
4%
↓ 5500
5%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
2%
↓ 4750
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing March above 5,900, propelled by the Federal Reserve's dovish pivot with a September rate cut and projections for two more in 2025, bolstering soft-landing hopes amid cooling inflation at 2.4% CPI core in December. The index trades near 5,850, up 1.5% YTD, fueled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacaps like Nvidia amid AI demand surge. Watch March 12 CPI (forecast 2.6% YoY), March 19 FOMC dot plot for cut signals, and nonfarm payrolls on March 7, as hotter data could spark volatility and cap upside near 6,000 resistance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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