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US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?

Market icon

US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?

Ended: Mar 31

Ended: Mar 31

Ja

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,629 Vol.

Ja

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,629 Vol.

This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA

Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q4 2025 release will not be counted.

If all relevant data is not published by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.
Volumen
$10,629
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q4 2025 release will not be counted. If all relevant data is not published by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA

Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q4 2025 release will not be counted.

If all relevant data is not published by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.
Volumen
$10,629
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q4 2025 release will not be counted. If all relevant data is not published by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "US-Zolleinnahmen im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?" is "US-Zolleinnahmen im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US-Zollerlöse im 4. Quartal 2025 gestiegen?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.