Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million in its domestic opening weekend (92.3% implied probability), driven by disappointing early box office signals amid stiff competition. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-comedy earned a tepid $1 million in Thursday previews—far below expectations for its 2,778-theater wide release—and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday, landing third behind holdover champ "Project Hail Mary." Mixed critical reception, with reviews decrying "stylish but empty" action and "weak dialogue" despite cartoonish gore, has stifled buzz and presales. Pre-release tracking eyed $6-10 million, but current trajectory reflects limited appeal in a crowded marketplace. An upset to 5-6 million or higher would require explosive Saturday/Sunday walkups fueled by strong audience scores and word-of-mouth, though historical patterns for similarly reviewed genre openers suggest slim odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 92.0%
5-6m 5.8%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$147,717 Vol.
$147,717 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
92%
5-6m
6%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
<1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 92.0%
5-6m 5.8%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$147,717 Vol.
$147,717 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$40,309 Vol.
92%
5-6m
$19,122 Vol.
6%
6-7m
$21,230 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$18,628 Vol.
<1%
>8m
$48,428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million in its domestic opening weekend (92.3% implied probability), driven by disappointing early box office signals amid stiff competition. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-comedy earned a tepid $1 million in Thursday previews—far below expectations for its 2,778-theater wide release—and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday, landing third behind holdover champ "Project Hail Mary." Mixed critical reception, with reviews decrying "stylish but empty" action and "weak dialogue" despite cartoonish gore, has stifled buzz and presales. Pre-release tracking eyed $6-10 million, but current trajectory reflects limited appeal in a crowded marketplace. An upset to 5-6 million or higher would require explosive Saturday/Sunday walkups fueled by strong audience scores and word-of-mouth, though historical patterns for similarly reviewed genre openers suggest slim odds.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volumen
$147,717Enddatum
Mar 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million in its domestic opening weekend (92.3% implied probability), driven by disappointing early box office signals amid stiff competition. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-comedy earned a tepid $1 million in Thursday previews—far below expectations for its 2,778-theater wide release—and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday, landing third behind holdover champ "Project Hail Mary." Mixed critical reception, with reviews decrying "stylish but empty" action and "weak dialogue" despite cartoonish gore, has stifled buzz and presales. Pre-release tracking eyed $6-10 million, but current trajectory reflects limited appeal in a crowded marketplace. An upset to 5-6 million or higher would require explosive Saturday/Sunday walkups fueled by strong audience scores and word-of-mouth, though historical patterns for similarly reviewed genre openers suggest slim odds.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$147,717Enddatum
Mar 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million in its domestic opening weekend (92.3% implied probability), driven by disappointing early box office signals amid stiff competition. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-comedy earned a tepid $1 million in Thursday previews—far below expectations for its 2,778-theater wide release—and just $2.3-$2.4 million on Friday, landing third behind holdover champ "Project Hail Mary." Mixed critical reception, with reviews decrying "stylish but empty" action and "weak dialogue" despite cartoonish gore, has stifled buzz and presales. Pre-release tracking eyed $6-10 million, but current trajectory reflects limited appeal in a crowded marketplace. An upset to 5-6 million or higher would require explosive Saturday/Sunday walkups fueled by strong audience scores and word-of-mouth, though historical patterns for similarly reviewed genre openers suggest slim odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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