Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 between $90 and $100 at 65.5% implied probability, driven primarily by recent earnings disappointment and softening subscriber growth amid intensifying streaming competition from Disney and Amazon. The stock has declined 8% over the past month from $105, reflecting market concerns over ad-tier monetization delays and macroeconomic headwinds like higher interest rates curbing consumer spending. Lower bins like $80-$90 (26.5%) capture tail risks from potential FOMC signals on rate cuts, while upside to $100-$110 (10.3%) hinges on positive analyst upgrades; historical volatility post-earnings supports this tight clustering around $95 as aggregated capital sentiment amid no major catalysts this week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$90-$100 58%
$80-$90 27%
$100-$110 2.5%
$70-$80 2.3%
$64,966 Vol.
$64,966 Vol.
< $50
<1%
$50-$60
<1%
$60–$70
<1%
$70-$80
2%
$80-$90
25%
$90-$100
58%
$100-$110
8%
110–120 $
1%
120–130 $
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
>140 $
<1%
$90-$100 58%
$80-$90 27%
$100-$110 2.5%
$70-$80 2.3%
$64,966 Vol.
$64,966 Vol.
< $50
<1%
$50-$60
<1%
$60–$70
<1%
$70-$80
2%
$80-$90
25%
$90-$100
58%
$100-$110
8%
110–120 $
1%
120–130 $
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
>140 $
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 between $90 and $100 at 65.5% implied probability, driven primarily by recent earnings disappointment and softening subscriber growth amid intensifying streaming competition from Disney and Amazon. The stock has declined 8% over the past month from $105, reflecting market concerns over ad-tier monetization delays and macroeconomic headwinds like higher interest rates curbing consumer spending. Lower bins like $80-$90 (26.5%) capture tail risks from potential FOMC signals on rate cuts, while upside to $100-$110 (10.3%) hinges on positive analyst upgrades; historical volatility post-earnings supports this tight clustering around $95 as aggregated capital sentiment amid no major catalysts this week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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