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Politik·Bürgermeisterwahlen

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille

Market icon
Politik·Bürgermeisterwahlen

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille

Benoît Payan 99.8%

Polymarket

$271,306 Vol.

Benoît Payan 99.8%

Polymarket

$271,306 Vol.

Market icon

Benoît Payan

$198,825 Vol.

100%

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$271,306
Enddatum
Mar 22, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Umstritten

Endgültige Überprüfung

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Benoît Payan holds a dominant 99.8% implied probability as the Marseille mayoral election winner, anchored by his incumbency since 2020 when his left-wing Printemps Marseillais coalition triumphed in the municipal elections, ending decades of right-wing control through a two-round system and subsequent internal leadership vote. Absent any major developments in the past 30 days—no snap election triggers, no-confidence motions, or high-profile challenger endorsements—traders reflect strong consensus on his path to re-election in 2026 amid stable polling and local support. Realistic shifts could stem from scandals, economic pressures in key districts, national political realignments, or emergence of viable rivals from Les Républicains or National Rally.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Benoît Payan" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Erwann Davoux" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $271.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 16, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille" ist „Benoît Payan" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Erwann Davoux" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.