Current ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shenzhen's April 9 highest temperature in the 27–30°C range, driving the tightly clustered trader odds amid low precipitation chances (under 5%) and mostly sunny skies. A warming trend through the week—highs rising from 27°C on April 8 to 30°C equivalents—reflects strengthening subtropical ridge influence and light southerly winds enhancing diurnal heating, though sea breeze moderation and patchy clouds introduce variability captured in model spreads of 2–3°C. Historical April highs average 26°C, but urban heat island effects amplify peaks; new model runs every 6–12 hours and CMA updates through April 7 could refine this consensus before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 9?
27°C 33%
28°C 23%
29°C 21%
26°C 19%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
33%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
15%
27°C 33%
28°C 23%
29°C 21%
26°C 19%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
33%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 5, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shenzhen's April 9 highest temperature in the 27–30°C range, driving the tightly clustered trader odds amid low precipitation chances (under 5%) and mostly sunny skies. A warming trend through the week—highs rising from 27°C on April 8 to 30°C equivalents—reflects strengthening subtropical ridge influence and light southerly winds enhancing diurnal heating, though sea breeze moderation and patchy clouds introduce variability captured in model spreads of 2–3°C. Historical April highs average 26°C, but urban heat island effects amplify peaks; new model runs every 6–12 hours and CMA updates through April 7 could refine this consensus before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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