Trader consensus prices Spain at 80.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup Group H, reflecting their No. 2 FIFA ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and squad depth headlined by stars like Yamal and Pedri, far outpacing Uruguay (17th), Saudi Arabia (61st), and Cape Verde (69th). Uruguay's 16% share stems from their robust CONMEBOL qualifying finish as runners-up contenders and historical group-stage resilience, positioning them as clear second amid the group of death. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia trail at 2.4% apiece, buoyed by Cape Verde's AFCON momentum and Saudi's 2022 upset pedigree, but recent March qualifier playoffs and April rankings updates—without key injuries—have cemented Spain's dominance, with no fresh developments shifting sentiment in the past week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSpanien 81%
Uruguay 16%
Kap Verde 2.4%
Saudi-Arabien 2.4%
$70,586 Vol.
$70,586 Vol.
Spanien
81%
Uruguay
16%
Kap Verde
2%
Saudi-Arabien
2%
Spanien 81%
Uruguay 16%
Kap Verde 2.4%
Saudi-Arabien 2.4%
$70,586 Vol.
$70,586 Vol.
Spanien
81%
Uruguay
16%
Kap Verde
2%
Saudi-Arabien
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Spain at 80.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup Group H, reflecting their No. 2 FIFA ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and squad depth headlined by stars like Yamal and Pedri, far outpacing Uruguay (17th), Saudi Arabia (61st), and Cape Verde (69th). Uruguay's 16% share stems from their robust CONMEBOL qualifying finish as runners-up contenders and historical group-stage resilience, positioning them as clear second amid the group of death. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia trail at 2.4% apiece, buoyed by Cape Verde's AFCON momentum and Saudi's 2022 upset pedigree, but recent March qualifier playoffs and April rankings updates—without key injuries—have cemented Spain's dominance, with no fresh developments shifting sentiment in the past week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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