Market icon
Economy·Arbeitslosigkeit

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Market icon
Economy·Arbeitslosigkeit

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Ended: März 31

Ended: März 31

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$44,071 Vol.

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$44,071 Vol.

≤2.4%

$14,417 Vol.

No

2.5%

$1,087 Vol.

No

2.6%

$2,758 Vol.

Yes

2.7%

$1,777 Vol.

No

2.8%

$2,152 Vol.

No

2.9%

$19,746 Vol.

No

≥3.0%

$2,134 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have assigned a 100% implied probability to Japan's February unemployment rate resolving at 2.6%, reflecting the official Statistics Bureau release on March 30 confirming this seasonally adjusted figure—easing from January's 1.5-year high of 2.7% and undershooting consensus economist forecasts of 2.7%. This first decline in seven months underscores persistent labor market tightness, with jobless levels remaining among the G7's lowest amid steady payrolls and robust demand. Supporting the strong positioning are stable household consumption and wage growth signals tracked by the Bank of Japan, which held policy rates at 0.75% last week. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions, as the preliminary print typically finalizes without adjustment. Traders now eye April's March report for BOJ policy cues.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html.

The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$44,071
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have assigned a 100% implied probability to Japan's February unemployment rate resolving at 2.6%, reflecting the official Statistics Bureau release on March 30 confirming this seasonally adjusted figure—easing from January's 1.5-year high of 2.7% and undershooting consensus economist forecasts of 2.7%. This first decline in seven months underscores persistent labor market tightness, with jobless levels remaining among the G7's lowest amid steady payrolls and robust demand. Supporting the strong positioning are stable household consumption and wage growth signals tracked by the Bank of Japan, which held policy rates at 0.75% last week. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions, as the preliminary print typically finalizes without adjustment. Traders now eye April's March report for BOJ policy cues.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html.

The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$44,071
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„February Unemployment Rate - Japan" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „2.6%" mit 100%, gefolgt von „≤2.4%" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „February Unemployment Rate - Japan" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $44.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 23, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „February Unemployment Rate - Japan" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „February Unemployment Rate - Japan" ist „2.6%" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „≤2.4%" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „February Unemployment Rate - Japan" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.