WTI crude oil (CL) futures spiked over 11% to above $111 per barrel this week, driven by heightened Middle East geopolitical risks—including Iran tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions—that have embedded a substantial war premium into pricing, eclipsing a surprise 5.5 million barrel U.S. inventory build reported by EIA for the week ended March 27. OPEC+ approved a 206,000 barrels per day production hike starting April amid plans to offset 4.6 million bpd overproduction by mid-year, while U.S. shale output plateaus near 13.6 million bpd and China demand remains tepid. Divergent forecasts—EIA sees Brent falling below $80 by Q3, Goldman Sachs at $85—highlight uncertainty; traders eye weekly EIA reports and Memorial Day driving season kickoff as pivotal for June settlement above key thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertRohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
Rohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
$80,044 Vol.
90 $
63%
85 $
65%
80 $
70%
75 $
80%
70 $
80%
65 $
83%
63 $
90%
60 $
92%
56 $
97%
55 $
93%
$52
96%
50 $
94%
$80,044 Vol.
90 $
63%
85 $
65%
80 $
70%
75 $
80%
70 $
80%
65 $
83%
63 $
90%
60 $
92%
56 $
97%
55 $
93%
$52
96%
50 $
94%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures spiked over 11% to above $111 per barrel this week, driven by heightened Middle East geopolitical risks—including Iran tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions—that have embedded a substantial war premium into pricing, eclipsing a surprise 5.5 million barrel U.S. inventory build reported by EIA for the week ended March 27. OPEC+ approved a 206,000 barrels per day production hike starting April amid plans to offset 4.6 million bpd overproduction by mid-year, while U.S. shale output plateaus near 13.6 million bpd and China demand remains tepid. Divergent forecasts—EIA sees Brent falling below $80 by Q3, Goldman Sachs at $85—highlight uncertainty; traders eye weekly EIA reports and Memorial Day driving season kickoff as pivotal for June settlement above key thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen