Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (80.5% implied probability), propelled by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—more than doubling prior marks—and reports from The Information just days ago indicating executives are discussing a Q4 2026 public debut, with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise. Surging revenue, now at a $19 billion annualized run rate from Claude AI adoption (up from $9 billion late 2025), alongside Amazon and Google backing, bolsters this outlook amid frothy AI valuations. A 16% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects execution risks like regulatory hurdles or market shifts, with lower brackets dismissed due to momentum; watch for S-1 filing as the next catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert600 Mrd.+ 72%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 22%
400–600 Mrd. 2.4%
300–400 Mrd. 1.7%
$92,400 Vol.
$92,400 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
1%
200–300 Mrd.
1%
300–400 Mrd.
2%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
75%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
22%
600 Mrd.+ 72%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 22%
400–600 Mrd. 2.4%
300–400 Mrd. 1.7%
$92,400 Vol.
$92,400 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 Mrd. $
$47,486 Vol.
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
$3,275 Vol.
1%
200–300 Mrd.
$3,332 Vol.
1%
300–400 Mrd.
$25,402 Vol.
2%
400–600 Mrd.
$3,263 Vol.
2%
600 Mrd.+
$6,203 Vol.
75%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
$3,437 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (80.5% implied probability), propelled by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—more than doubling prior marks—and reports from The Information just days ago indicating executives are discussing a Q4 2026 public debut, with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise. Surging revenue, now at a $19 billion annualized run rate from Claude AI adoption (up from $9 billion late 2025), alongside Amazon and Google backing, bolsters this outlook amid frothy AI valuations. A 16% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects execution risks like regulatory hurdles or market shifts, with lower brackets dismissed due to momentum; watch for S-1 filing as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volumen
$92,400Enddatum
Dec 31, 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (80.5% implied probability), propelled by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—more than doubling prior marks—and reports from The Information just days ago indicating executives are discussing a Q4 2026 public debut, with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise. Surging revenue, now at a $19 billion annualized run rate from Claude AI adoption (up from $9 billion late 2025), alongside Amazon and Google backing, bolsters this outlook amid frothy AI valuations. A 16% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects execution risks like regulatory hurdles or market shifts, with lower brackets dismissed due to momentum; watch for S-1 filing as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$92,400Enddatum
Dec 31, 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (80.5% implied probability), propelled by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—more than doubling prior marks—and reports from The Information just days ago indicating executives are discussing a Q4 2026 public debut, with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise. Surging revenue, now at a $19 billion annualized run rate from Claude AI adoption (up from $9 billion late 2025), alongside Amazon and Google backing, bolsters this outlook amid frothy AI valuations. A 16% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects execution risks like regulatory hurdles or market shifts, with lower brackets dismissed due to momentum; watch for S-1 filing as the next catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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