The 2026 FIFA World Cup, expanded to 48 teams across three North American host nations—USA, Canada, and Mexico, who have auto-qualified—sees active qualifying campaigns shaping trader consensus in CONMEBOL (6 direct slots +1 playoff), AFC (8+1), and CAF (9+1), with UEFA's 16 slots (12 direct +4 playoffs) kicking off in March 2025 via Nations League paths. Recent October international window results solidified leaders like Argentina (top of CONMEBOL table), Iran and South Korea (AFC frontrunners), and Egypt, Algeria in CAF groups, while upsets boosted Venezuela and Uzbekistan. Upcoming November fixtures and head-to-head clashes will intensify races, alongside intercontinental playoffs determining final spots, amid factors like home form, key player injuries, and schedule strength influencing probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,186,363 Vol.
DR Kongo
71%
Italien
65%
Irak
59%
Türkei
54%
Dänemark
53%
Jamaika
37%
Bolivien
30%
Polen
36%
Schweden
33%
Tschechien
29%
Slowakei
29%
Ukraine
26%
Suriname
23%
Wales
23%
Irland
21%
Kosovo
15%
Bosnien und Herzegowina
12%
Albanien
12%
Rumänien
11%
Nordmazedonien
7%
Nordirland
6%
Neukaledonien
2%
$1,186,363 Vol.
DR Kongo
71%
Italien
65%
Irak
59%
Türkei
54%
Dänemark
53%
Jamaika
37%
Bolivien
30%
Polen
36%
Schweden
33%
Tschechien
29%
Slowakei
29%
Ukraine
26%
Suriname
23%
Wales
23%
Irland
21%
Kosovo
15%
Bosnien und Herzegowina
12%
Albanien
12%
Rumänien
11%
Nordmazedonien
7%
Nordirland
6%
Neukaledonien
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2025, 8:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Resolver
0x6A9D22261...The 2026 FIFA World Cup, expanded to 48 teams across three North American host nations—USA, Canada, and Mexico, who have auto-qualified—sees active qualifying campaigns shaping trader consensus in CONMEBOL (6 direct slots +1 playoff), AFC (8+1), and CAF (9+1), with UEFA's 16 slots (12 direct +4 playoffs) kicking off in March 2025 via Nations League paths. Recent October international window results solidified leaders like Argentina (top of CONMEBOL table), Iran and South Korea (AFC frontrunners), and Egypt, Algeria in CAF groups, while upsets boosted Venezuela and Uzbekistan. Upcoming November fixtures and head-to-head clashes will intensify races, alongside intercontinental playoffs determining final spots, amid factors like home form, key player injuries, and schedule strength influencing probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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