Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead Polymarket's 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship trader consensus at 42.5% and 31.6% implied probabilities, mirroring their 1-2 early standings after three rounds—Antonelli atop with 72 points from wins in China and a dominant Japanese Grand Prix victory from pole, ahead of teammate Russell's 63. The W17's superior power unit and adaptations to 2026's narrower cars and hybrid rules have given Mercedes a clear edge over Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (49 points, 6.8%) and McLaren, but traders favor the experienced Russell's consistency amid slim qualifying margins and the rookie's unproven endurance in title fights. Leclerc trails due to Ferrari's relative pace deficit, while others face steep barriers without constructors' contention.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGeorge Russell 43%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
Charles Leclerc 6.8%
Oscar Piastri 5.2%
$81,997,653 Vol.
$81,997,653 Vol.
George Russell
43%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
George Russell 43%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
Charles Leclerc 6.8%
Oscar Piastri 5.2%
$81,997,653 Vol.
$81,997,653 Vol.
George Russell
43%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead Polymarket's 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship trader consensus at 42.5% and 31.6% implied probabilities, mirroring their 1-2 early standings after three rounds—Antonelli atop with 72 points from wins in China and a dominant Japanese Grand Prix victory from pole, ahead of teammate Russell's 63. The W17's superior power unit and adaptations to 2026's narrower cars and hybrid rules have given Mercedes a clear edge over Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (49 points, 6.8%) and McLaren, but traders favor the experienced Russell's consistency amid slim qualifying margins and the rookie's unproven endurance in title fights. Leclerc trails due to Ferrari's relative pace deficit, while others face steep barriers without constructors' contention.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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