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RamsesIV

Beigetreten Nov. 2024·2 Aufrufe

I speculate on Kahneman, exploiting the imperfections of the human brain in relation to probabilistic things.

$50.81

Positionen Wert

$19.07

Größter Gewinn

268

Prognosen

Gesamt-PnL
-$144.19
Gesamtvolumen
6K

Gewinn/Verlust

$0.68
Polymarket

Letzter Tag

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 83¢
15.0 Anteile
$14.48$2.03 (16.33%)
icon for Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

No 61¢
10.0 Anteile
$5.85-$0.25 (-4.1%)
icon for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 67¢
5.0 Anteile
$4.60$1.25 (37.31%)
icon for Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 73¢
5.0 Anteile
$4.38$0.73 (19.86%)
icon for Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 31.8¢
5.0 Anteile
$4.17$2.58 (161.95%)
icon for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 56¢
5.0 Anteile
$4.08$1.28 (45.54%)
icon for Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.9¢
30.0 Anteile
$0.77-$1.60 (-67.72%)
icon for Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5

Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5

Over 53¢
10.0 Anteile
$0.00-$5.30 (-100%)
icon for Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 17¢
12.0 Anteile
$0.00-$2.04 (-100%)
icon for Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.2¢
10.0 Anteile
$0.00-$6.12 (-100%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?

No 13¢
47.5 Anteile
$0.00-$6.19 (-100%)
icon for Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51.1¢
10.0 Anteile
$0.00-$5.11 (-100%)
icon for Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23¢
20.0 Anteile
$0.00-$4.60 (-100%)
icon for Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 32¢
10.0 Anteile
$0.00-$3.20 (-100%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?

Yes 10.8¢
12.0 Anteile
$0.00-$1.30 (-100%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?

No 19.1¢
8.5 Anteile
$0.00-$1.62 (-99.99%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?

Yes 7.2¢
31.1 Anteile
$0.00-$2.23 (-100%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?

No 13.1¢
10.0 Anteile
$0.00-$1.31 (-100%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?

No 54.9¢
9.7 Anteile
$0.00-$5.30 (-100%)