President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations, prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities, initially raised prospects of ending the 1992 moratorium. Subsequent clarifications from the Energy Department emphasized non-explosive system tests, simulations, and subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Congressional measures have advanced to require legislative approval for any explosive test, while the Nevada Test Site maintains technical readiness but lacks recent funding or scheduling for full underground explosions. Ongoing arms-control concerns and bipartisan opposition continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডদ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
দ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
$667,461 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
2%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
5%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
9%
$667,461 Vol.
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
$40,114 Vol.
2%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
$6,656 Vol.
5%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
$10,472 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations, prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities, initially raised prospects of ending the 1992 moratorium. Subsequent clarifications from the Energy Department emphasized non-explosive system tests, simulations, and subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Congressional measures have advanced to require legislative approval for any explosive test, while the Nevada Test Site maintains technical readiness but lacks recent funding or scheduling for full underground explosions. Ongoing arms-control concerns and bipartisan opposition continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$667,461শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations, prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities, initially raised prospects of ending the 1992 moratorium. Subsequent clarifications from the Energy Department emphasized non-explosive system tests, simulations, and subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Congressional measures have advanced to require legislative approval for any explosive test, while the Nevada Test Site maintains technical readiness but lacks recent funding or scheduling for full underground explosions. Ongoing arms-control concerns and bipartisan opposition continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$667,461শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations, prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities, initially raised prospects of ending the 1992 moratorium. Subsequent clarifications from the Energy Department emphasized non-explosive system tests, simulations, and subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Congressional measures have advanced to require legislative approval for any explosive test, while the Nevada Test Site maintains technical readiness but lacks recent funding or scheduling for full underground explosions. Ongoing arms-control concerns and bipartisan opposition continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা