The U.S. has observed a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with weapons labs repeatedly affirming no technical or military necessity for resumption amid ongoing stockpile stewardship and modernization. Trader consensus prices the leading outcome— a test by December 31, 2026—at just 9%, reflecting significant barriers including years-long preparations, high costs, and political opposition from Nevada lawmakers like Sen. Jacky Rosen, who visited the site April 13 to push back against resumption proposals. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 30 against U.S. or Russian testing, alongside Trump's FY27 nuclear triad budget boost without explicit test funding, underscore diplomatic and fiscal hurdles; congressional appropriations debates this summer could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডদ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
দ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
$664,780 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
2%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
6%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
9%
$664,780 Vol.
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
$38,761 Vol.
2%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
$5,584 Vol.
6%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
$10,216 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. has observed a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with weapons labs repeatedly affirming no technical or military necessity for resumption amid ongoing stockpile stewardship and modernization. Trader consensus prices the leading outcome— a test by December 31, 2026—at just 9%, reflecting significant barriers including years-long preparations, high costs, and political opposition from Nevada lawmakers like Sen. Jacky Rosen, who visited the site April 13 to push back against resumption proposals. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 30 against U.S. or Russian testing, alongside Trump's FY27 nuclear triad budget boost without explicit test funding, underscore diplomatic and fiscal hurdles; congressional appropriations debates this summer could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$664,780শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. has observed a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with weapons labs repeatedly affirming no technical or military necessity for resumption amid ongoing stockpile stewardship and modernization. Trader consensus prices the leading outcome— a test by December 31, 2026—at just 9%, reflecting significant barriers including years-long preparations, high costs, and political opposition from Nevada lawmakers like Sen. Jacky Rosen, who visited the site April 13 to push back against resumption proposals. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 30 against U.S. or Russian testing, alongside Trump's FY27 nuclear triad budget boost without explicit test funding, underscore diplomatic and fiscal hurdles; congressional appropriations debates this summer could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$664,780শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. has observed a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with weapons labs repeatedly affirming no technical or military necessity for resumption amid ongoing stockpile stewardship and modernization. Trader consensus prices the leading outcome— a test by December 31, 2026—at just 9%, reflecting significant barriers including years-long preparations, high costs, and political opposition from Nevada lawmakers like Sen. Jacky Rosen, who visited the site April 13 to push back against resumption proposals. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 30 against U.S. or Russian testing, alongside Trump's FY27 nuclear triad budget boost without explicit test funding, underscore diplomatic and fiscal hurdles; congressional appropriations debates this summer could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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