Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকখনও কিছু হয় না: 2026
কখনও কিছু হয় না: 2026
হ্যাঁ
$550,114 Vol.
$550,114 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$550,114 Vol.
$550,114 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$550,114শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
ভলিউম
$550,114শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা