Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major disruptions in 2026, driven by the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May despite geopolitical flashpoints. President Trump remains in office absent impeachment or resignation proceedings, Xi Jinping faces no ouster, and no full-scale invasions—China into Taiwan, U.S. into Iran, or Russia into a NATO country—have launched. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz stopped short of ground invasion criteria, while a Ukraine Victory Day truce on May 9 signaled de-escalation. Bitcoin trades steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions, 9.0+ earthquakes, or Epstein revival. November 2026 midterms pose the primary risk for a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকখনও কিছু হয় না: 2026
কখনও কিছু হয় না: 2026
হ্যাঁ
$556,991 Vol.
$556,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$556,991 Vol.
$556,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major disruptions in 2026, driven by the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May despite geopolitical flashpoints. President Trump remains in office absent impeachment or resignation proceedings, Xi Jinping faces no ouster, and no full-scale invasions—China into Taiwan, U.S. into Iran, or Russia into a NATO country—have launched. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz stopped short of ground invasion criteria, while a Ukraine Victory Day truce on May 9 signaled de-escalation. Bitcoin trades steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions, 9.0+ earthquakes, or Epstein revival. November 2026 midterms pose the primary risk for a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$556,991শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major disruptions in 2026, driven by the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May despite geopolitical flashpoints. President Trump remains in office absent impeachment or resignation proceedings, Xi Jinping faces no ouster, and no full-scale invasions—China into Taiwan, U.S. into Iran, or Russia into a NATO country—have launched. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz stopped short of ground invasion criteria, while a Ukraine Victory Day truce on May 9 signaled de-escalation. Bitcoin trades steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions, 9.0+ earthquakes, or Epstein revival. November 2026 midterms pose the primary risk for a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
ভলিউম
$556,991শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 66.5% for no major disruptions in 2026, driven by the absence of any resolution triggers through mid-May despite geopolitical flashpoints. President Trump remains in office absent impeachment or resignation proceedings, Xi Jinping faces no ouster, and no full-scale invasions—China into Taiwan, U.S. into Iran, or Russia into a NATO country—have launched. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz stopped short of ground invasion criteria, while a Ukraine Victory Day truce on May 9 signaled de-escalation. Bitcoin trades steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no VEI 6+ volcanic eruptions, 9.0+ earthquakes, or Epstein revival. November 2026 midterms pose the primary risk for a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা