Recent April CPI data showing a 0.6% month-over-month rise, driven by energy prices and shelter costs amid geopolitical oil shocks and tariff pass-through, has anchored trader expectations for May around 0.5%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May MoM inflation at 0.46%, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting the 20.6% odds on 0.4%. Persistent factors including lagged tariff effects on goods, a tight labor market, and elevated year-over-year readings near 3.8% sustain upside risks, while easing gasoline pressures could cap the print near consensus forecasts. The June 10 release remains the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMay Inflation US - Monthly
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 20%
0.8% 3.0%
$47,459 Vol.
$47,459 Vol.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
1%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 20%
0.8% 3.0%
$47,459 Vol.
$47,459 Vol.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
1%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 0.6% month-over-month rise, driven by energy prices and shelter costs amid geopolitical oil shocks and tariff pass-through, has anchored trader expectations for May around 0.5%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May MoM inflation at 0.46%, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting the 20.6% odds on 0.4%. Persistent factors including lagged tariff effects on goods, a tight labor market, and elevated year-over-year readings near 3.8% sustain upside risks, while easing gasoline pressures could cap the print near consensus forecasts. The June 10 release remains the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা