Traders are pricing the May 2026 U.S. CPI release, scheduled for June 10, with the tightest contest between 4.2% and 4.3% year-over-year outcomes. April’s 3.8% print marked the sharpest annual increase since May 2023, propelled by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid geopolitical supply shocks. Consensus forecasts, including a 0.5% monthly gain projected by RBC, center near 4.2%, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts hover around 4.18%. Elevated energy and shelter components create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, as even modest revisions to gasoline or core readings could shift the final figure between these levels ahead of the data drop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.2% 45%
4.3% 38%
4.1% 11.1%
≥4.4% 6%
$429,469 Vol.
$429,469 Vol.
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
11%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
6%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 38%
4.1% 11.1%
≥4.4% 6%
$429,469 Vol.
$429,469 Vol.
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
11%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
6%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the May 2026 U.S. CPI release, scheduled for June 10, with the tightest contest between 4.2% and 4.3% year-over-year outcomes. April’s 3.8% print marked the sharpest annual increase since May 2023, propelled by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid geopolitical supply shocks. Consensus forecasts, including a 0.5% monthly gain projected by RBC, center near 4.2%, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts hover around 4.18%. Elevated energy and shelter components create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, as even modest revisions to gasoline or core readings could shift the final figure between these levels ahead of the data drop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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