Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, has elevated expectations for May. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May headline CPI at 4.18%, while broader forecasts incorporate ongoing tariff pass-through and commodity pressures that have pushed consensus estimates toward 4.0–4.2%. With leading Polymarket outcomes clustered at 4.2% and 4.3%, traders price in continued momentum from these factors ahead of the June 10 release, though any moderation in monthly energy or shelter components could shift the final print within the narrow competitive range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.2% 45%
4.3% 38%
4.1% 11.8%
≥4.4% 8%
$429,454 Vol.
$429,454 Vol.
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
3%
4.1%
12%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
8%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 38%
4.1% 11.8%
≥4.4% 8%
$429,454 Vol.
$429,454 Vol.
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
3%
4.1%
12%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
8%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, has elevated expectations for May. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May headline CPI at 4.18%, while broader forecasts incorporate ongoing tariff pass-through and commodity pressures that have pushed consensus estimates toward 4.0–4.2%. With leading Polymarket outcomes clustered at 4.2% and 4.3%, traders price in continued momentum from these factors ahead of the June 10 release, though any moderation in monthly energy or shelter components could shift the final print within the narrow competitive range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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