Recent April CPI data at 3.8% year-over-year, exceeding consensus forecasts by 0.1 percentage point and marking the largest annual increase since May 2023, has anchored trader expectations for May's print amid persistent energy price pressures from oil market shocks. Core inflation rose to 2.8% YoY with a 0.4% monthly gain, reflecting shelter and services momentum that has limited downward momentum despite prior base effects. Boston Fed President Susan Collins highlighted the need for potential policy tightening to anchor expectations, reinforcing a higher-for-longer rate path that market-implied odds now price as favoring outcomes clustered tightly between 4.2% and 4.4%. The May release scheduled for June 10 will incorporate fresh gasoline and food components, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to further upside risk around 4.2%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.3% 35%
≥4.4% 33%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 9%
$12,272 Vol.
$12,272 Vol.
≤3.3%
1%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
3%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
9%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
33%
4.3% 35%
≥4.4% 33%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 9%
$12,272 Vol.
$12,272 Vol.
≤3.3%
1%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
3%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
9%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
33%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data at 3.8% year-over-year, exceeding consensus forecasts by 0.1 percentage point and marking the largest annual increase since May 2023, has anchored trader expectations for May's print amid persistent energy price pressures from oil market shocks. Core inflation rose to 2.8% YoY with a 0.4% monthly gain, reflecting shelter and services momentum that has limited downward momentum despite prior base effects. Boston Fed President Susan Collins highlighted the need for potential policy tightening to anchor expectations, reinforcing a higher-for-longer rate path that market-implied odds now price as favoring outcomes clustered tightly between 4.2% and 4.4%. The May release scheduled for June 10 will incorporate fresh gasoline and food components, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to further upside risk around 4.2%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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