Hilda Solis maintains overwhelming trader support in the California 38th congressional district race due to the area's established Democratic registration advantage and her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Obama-era Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this positioning, with Solis securing first place ahead of Republican Pedro Casas, a retired Army colonel and psychologist making his first bid for the seat. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and limited recent polling shifts. Casas's campaign has focused on affordability and spending issues but faces structural barriers in a district spanning Los Angeles and Orange counties. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.