Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic state representative Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$172,479 Vol.
$172,479 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
56%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$172,479 Vol.
$172,479 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$83,408 Vol.
56%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,071 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic state representative Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$172,479শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic state representative Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$172,479শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic state representative Josh Turek in the November 3, 2026 general election. Hinson benefits from the state's longstanding Republican tilt, strong primary performance with Trump and Ernst endorsements, and a fundraising edge exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Hinson ahead by 2–3 points in most surveys amid low undecideds, reflecting competitive dynamics where Democratic enthusiasm for Turek's profile as a Paralympic medalist and policy focus on economic issues offsets Republican structural advantages. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's electoral history and current polling trends in this closely contested race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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