Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton head to a May 26 Republican primary runoff against Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, with early voting starting May 18 driving trader focus on turnout dynamics. Recent polls, such as University of Houston's late April survey showing Cornyn leading Talarico 48%-45% and Paxton up by a slim margin in hypotheticals, highlight the race's competitiveness amid Texas' urban Democratic gains offsetting GOP rural strength. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by incumbency, fundraising edges, and historical battleground resilience, but a Trump endorsement, Paxton nomination energizing the base, or depressed moderate turnout could widen separation ahead of November's general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$202,549 Vol.
$202,549 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
55%
Democrat
46%
$202,549 Vol.
$202,549 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$111,366 Vol.
55%
Democrat
$91,183 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton head to a May 26 Republican primary runoff against Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, with early voting starting May 18 driving trader focus on turnout dynamics. Recent polls, such as University of Houston's late April survey showing Cornyn leading Talarico 48%-45% and Paxton up by a slim margin in hypotheticals, highlight the race's competitiveness amid Texas' urban Democratic gains offsetting GOP rural strength. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by incumbency, fundraising edges, and historical battleground resilience, but a Trump endorsement, Paxton nomination energizing the base, or depressed moderate turnout could widen separation ahead of November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ভলিউম
$202,549শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton head to a May 26 Republican primary runoff against Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, with early voting starting May 18 driving trader focus on turnout dynamics. Recent polls, such as University of Houston's late April survey showing Cornyn leading Talarico 48%-45% and Paxton up by a slim margin in hypotheticals, highlight the race's competitiveness amid Texas' urban Democratic gains offsetting GOP rural strength. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by incumbency, fundraising edges, and historical battleground resilience, but a Trump endorsement, Paxton nomination energizing the base, or depressed moderate turnout could widen separation ahead of November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$202,549শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton head to a May 26 Republican primary runoff against Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, with early voting starting May 18 driving trader focus on turnout dynamics. Recent polls, such as University of Houston's late April survey showing Cornyn leading Talarico 48%-45% and Paxton up by a slim margin in hypotheticals, highlight the race's competitiveness amid Texas' urban Democratic gains offsetting GOP rural strength. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by incumbency, fundraising edges, and historical battleground resilience, but a Trump endorsement, Paxton nomination energizing the base, or depressed moderate turnout could widen separation ahead of November's general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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