Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces Texas AG Ken Paxton in the Republican primary runoff on May 26, with a recent Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) showing Paxton leading 48%-40% among likely voters, fueling uncertainty in the GOP nomination amid intra-party divisions between establishment and conservative factions. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul—outpacing both Republicans—has boosted his visibility and narrowed general election hypotheticals, where earlier polls (February-March) show tight races with Republicans holding slim edges like Cornyn 45%-44% or Paxton 46%-44% over Talarico. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas's GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base rates favoring the party in statewide races, though the contest remains closely contested.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$178,118 Vol.
$178,118 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
43%
$178,118 Vol.
$178,118 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$94,190 Vol.
56%
Democrat
$83,927 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces Texas AG Ken Paxton in the Republican primary runoff on May 26, with a recent Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) showing Paxton leading 48%-40% among likely voters, fueling uncertainty in the GOP nomination amid intra-party divisions between establishment and conservative factions. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul—outpacing both Republicans—has boosted his visibility and narrowed general election hypotheticals, where earlier polls (February-March) show tight races with Republicans holding slim edges like Cornyn 45%-44% or Paxton 46%-44% over Talarico. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas's GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base rates favoring the party in statewide races, though the contest remains closely contested.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ভলিউম
$178,118শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces Texas AG Ken Paxton in the Republican primary runoff on May 26, with a recent Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) showing Paxton leading 48%-40% among likely voters, fueling uncertainty in the GOP nomination amid intra-party divisions between establishment and conservative factions. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul—outpacing both Republicans—has boosted his visibility and narrowed general election hypotheticals, where earlier polls (February-March) show tight races with Republicans holding slim edges like Cornyn 45%-44% or Paxton 46%-44% over Talarico. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas's GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base rates favoring the party in statewide races, though the contest remains closely contested.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$178,118শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces Texas AG Ken Paxton in the Republican primary runoff on May 26, with a recent Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) showing Paxton leading 48%-40% among likely voters, fueling uncertainty in the GOP nomination amid intra-party divisions between establishment and conservative factions. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul—outpacing both Republicans—has boosted his visibility and narrowed general election hypotheticals, where earlier polls (February-March) show tight races with Republicans holding slim edges like Cornyn 45%-44% or Paxton 46%-44% over Talarico. Trader consensus tilts Republican at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas's GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base rates favoring the party in statewide races, though the contest remains closely contested.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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