The market assigns Sherrod Brown a 60.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 special election to fill J.D. Vance’s former Senate seat, reflecting traders’ emphasis on his dominant May 5 Democratic primary performance, where he captured nearly 90% of the vote amid elevated turnout. Brown’s first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and his established name recognition as a former three-term senator provide a measurable edge in a state with narrow partisan margins. Recent April polling shows incumbent Jon Husted holding a slim average lead of roughly two points, yet the market diverges by weighting Brown’s independent appeal and prior electoral resilience more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency bump following his 2025 appointment. Upcoming debates and summer surveys could narrow or widen this gap before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$77,904 Vol.
$77,904 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
61%
Republican
42%
$77,904 Vol.
$77,904 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$45,533 Vol.
61%
Republican
$32,371 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The market assigns Sherrod Brown a 60.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 special election to fill J.D. Vance’s former Senate seat, reflecting traders’ emphasis on his dominant May 5 Democratic primary performance, where he captured nearly 90% of the vote amid elevated turnout. Brown’s first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and his established name recognition as a former three-term senator provide a measurable edge in a state with narrow partisan margins. Recent April polling shows incumbent Jon Husted holding a slim average lead of roughly two points, yet the market diverges by weighting Brown’s independent appeal and prior electoral resilience more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency bump following his 2025 appointment. Upcoming debates and summer surveys could narrow or widen this gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$77,904শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The market assigns Sherrod Brown a 60.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 special election to fill J.D. Vance’s former Senate seat, reflecting traders’ emphasis on his dominant May 5 Democratic primary performance, where he captured nearly 90% of the vote amid elevated turnout. Brown’s first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and his established name recognition as a former three-term senator provide a measurable edge in a state with narrow partisan margins. Recent April polling shows incumbent Jon Husted holding a slim average lead of roughly two points, yet the market diverges by weighting Brown’s independent appeal and prior electoral resilience more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency bump following his 2025 appointment. Upcoming debates and summer surveys could narrow or widen this gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$77,904শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market assigns Sherrod Brown a 60.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026 special election to fill J.D. Vance’s former Senate seat, reflecting traders’ emphasis on his dominant May 5 Democratic primary performance, where he captured nearly 90% of the vote amid elevated turnout. Brown’s first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and his established name recognition as a former three-term senator provide a measurable edge in a state with narrow partisan margins. Recent April polling shows incumbent Jon Husted holding a slim average lead of roughly two points, yet the market diverges by weighting Brown’s independent appeal and prior electoral resilience more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency bump following his 2025 appointment. Upcoming debates and summer surveys could narrow or widen this gap before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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