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tetlock

加入时间 3月 2026·0 浏览量

$122.73

持仓价值

$1.69

最高赢利

19

预测

盈亏

+$5.87
Polymarket

过去 24 小时

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?

Yes 49¢
27.3 份额
$25.49$12.13 (90.82%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 56¢
47.7 份额
$22.19-$4.53 (-16.96%)
icon for Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 70¢
19.1 份额
$14.60$1.24 (9.29%)
icon for Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No 71¢
18.8 份额
$13.64$0.28 (2.11%)
icon for SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 44¢
30.4 份额
$11.84-$1.52 (-11.36%)
icon for Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

No 45¢
29.7 份额
$9.80-$3.56 (-26.67%)
icon for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

No 55¢
23.6 份额
$8.63-$4.37 (-33.64%)
icon for Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86¢
2.3 份额
$1.92-$0.08 (-4.07%)
icon for Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 63.1¢
3.2 份额
$1.85-$0.15 (-7.53%)
icon for Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Yes 28¢
6.4 份额
$0.51-$1.29 (-71.43%)