Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$37.1K 交易量

$18.0K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

56%

Goldman Sachs

$1M 交易量

$188K today

$73.3K Liq.

12

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

44%

$X

$2M 交易量

$76.7K today

$75.6K Liq.

138

Ends in almost 2 years

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

84%

SpaceX

$1M 交易量

$62.3K today

$218K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 months

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

44%

$85.2K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
摩天大楼攀登·Science

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

35%

1.15–1.19ºC

$141K 交易量

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

37%

8+

$1M 交易量

$49.4K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 months

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

100%

1400

$189K 交易量

$42.6K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

34%

11–13

$1M 交易量

$37.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

39%

5-6

$361K 交易量

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

New pandemic in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

New pandemic in 2026?

12%

$166K 交易量

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

99%

150+

$73.0K 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

41%

2

$2M 交易量

$109K Liq.

20

Ends in 10 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$624K 交易量

$88.8K Liq.

9

Ends in almost 2 years

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$575K 交易量

$18.1K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Precipitation in Seattle in March?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

38%

6-7"

$76.2K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

52%

2.0T+

$341K 交易量

$38.2K Liq.

8

Ends in almost 2 years

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑2k

$7M 交易量

$60.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?
摩天大楼攀登·Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

49%

$306K 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
摩天大楼攀登·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

41%

$97.9K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 摩天大楼攀登 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 148 个活跃的 摩天大楼攀登 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $19.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"New pandemic in 2026?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?",市场目前认为 ↑1k 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 摩天大楼攀登 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。