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经济·银行

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Market icon
经济·银行

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

$18,536 交易量

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$18,536 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 1.8M

$9,642 交易量

30%

↑ 1.7M

$180 交易量

49%

↑ 1.6M

$5,352 交易量

77%

↓ 1.5M

$1,716 交易量

48%

↓ 1.4M

$896 交易量

17%

↓ 1.3M

$748 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.The ongoing US-Israel military conflict with Iran, escalating since early March 2026 with strikes and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4, has driven rapid depreciation of the Iranian rial, pushing the free-market USD/IRR rate from around 1.3 million in mid-March to approximately 1.58 million by March 29 amid war-induced inflation exceeding 40% and disrupted oil exports. Temporary US easing of sanctions on pre-war Iranian oil cargoes, announced March 20, seeks to ease global energy supply strains but provides minimal support to Iran's sanctioned economy, fueling trader consensus at 75% implied probability for USD hitting the threshold by April 30. De-escalation signals, including a recent US peace plan draft, alongside potential diplomatic negotiations or further military actions, remain key catalysts through the resolution window.

The ongoing US-Israel military conflict with Iran, escalating since early March 2026 with strikes and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4, has driven rapid depreciation of the Iranian rial, pushing the free-market USD/IRR rate from around 1.3 million in mid-March to approximately 1.58 million by March 29 amid war-induced inflation exceeding 40% and disrupted oil exports. Temporary US easing of sanctions on pre-war Iranian oil cargoes, announced March 20, seeks to ease global energy supply strains but provides minimal support to Iran's sanctioned economy, fueling trader consensus at 75% implied probability for USD hitting the threshold by April 30. De-escalation signals, including a recent US peace plan draft, alongside potential diplomatic negotiations or further military actions, remain key catalysts through the resolution window.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.The ongoing US-Israel military conflict with Iran, escalating since early March 2026 with strikes and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4, has driven rapid depreciation of the Iranian rial, pushing the free-market USD/IRR rate from around 1.3 million in mid-March to approximately 1.58 million by March 29 amid war-induced inflation exceeding 40% and disrupted oil exports. Temporary US easing of sanctions on pre-war Iranian oil cargoes, announced March 20, seeks to ease global energy supply strains but provides minimal support to Iran's sanctioned economy, fueling trader consensus at 75% implied probability for USD hitting the threshold by April 30. De-escalation signals, including a recent US peace plan draft, alongside potential diplomatic negotiations or further military actions, remain key catalysts through the resolution window.

The ongoing US-Israel military conflict with Iran, escalating since early March 2026 with strikes and Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure on March 4, has driven rapid depreciation of the Iranian rial, pushing the free-market USD/IRR rate from around 1.3 million in mid-March to approximately 1.58 million by March 29 amid war-induced inflation exceeding 40% and disrupted oil exports. Temporary US easing of sanctions on pre-war Iranian oil cargoes, announced March 20, seeks to ease global energy supply strains but provides minimal support to Iran's sanctioned economy, fueling trader consensus at 75% implied probability for USD hitting the threshold by April 30. De-escalation signals, including a recent US peace plan draft, alongside potential diplomatic negotiations or further military actions, remain key catalysts through the resolution window.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"↑ 1.6M"，概率为 77%，其次是"↑ 1.7M"，概率为 49%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 77¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 77%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?"已产生 $18.5K 的总交易量（自Mar 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?"的当前领先者是"↑ 1.6M"，概率为 77%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 77%。紧随其后的结果是"↑ 1.7M"，概率为 49%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。