President-elect Donald Trump has expressed openness to direct negotiations with Iran to curb its nuclear program and end regional conflicts, echoing his first-term "maximum pressure" strategy that included sanctions and the Soleimani strike, but Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has explicitly forbidden talks with the incoming administration, as reiterated in recent speeches. Mojtaba Khamenei, the leader's influential second son and deputy head of IRGC intelligence—not an official diplomat—remains a behind-the-scenes figure with no public record of engaging U.S. leaders, fueling speculation about potential backchannels amid post-election tensions like Iran's missile barrages on Israel. Traders weigh slim odds against Khamenei's firm stance, Trump's deal-making rhetoric, and upcoming inauguration on January 20, 2025, which could prompt early diplomatic signals or escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$236,156 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
3月31日
2%
4月30日
8%
6月30日
7%
$236,156 交易量
3月31日
$221,336 交易量
2%
4月30日
$9,932 交易量
8%
6月30日
$4,889 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has expressed openness to direct negotiations with Iran to curb its nuclear program and end regional conflicts, echoing his first-term "maximum pressure" strategy that included sanctions and the Soleimani strike, but Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has explicitly forbidden talks with the incoming administration, as reiterated in recent speeches. Mojtaba Khamenei, the leader's influential second son and deputy head of IRGC intelligence—not an official diplomat—remains a behind-the-scenes figure with no public record of engaging U.S. leaders, fueling speculation about potential backchannels amid post-election tensions like Iran's missile barrages on Israel. Traders weigh slim odds against Khamenei's firm stance, Trump's deal-making rhetoric, and upcoming inauguration on January 20, 2025, which could prompt early diplomatic signals or escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
交易量
$236,156结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has expressed openness to direct negotiations with Iran to curb its nuclear program and end regional conflicts, echoing his first-term "maximum pressure" strategy that included sanctions and the Soleimani strike, but Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has explicitly forbidden talks with the incoming administration, as reiterated in recent speeches. Mojtaba Khamenei, the leader's influential second son and deputy head of IRGC intelligence—not an official diplomat—remains a behind-the-scenes figure with no public record of engaging U.S. leaders, fueling speculation about potential backchannels amid post-election tensions like Iran's missile barrages on Israel. Traders weigh slim odds against Khamenei's firm stance, Trump's deal-making rhetoric, and upcoming inauguration on January 20, 2025, which could prompt early diplomatic signals or escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$236,156结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has expressed openness to direct negotiations with Iran to curb its nuclear program and end regional conflicts, echoing his first-term "maximum pressure" strategy that included sanctions and the Soleimani strike, but Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has explicitly forbidden talks with the incoming administration, as reiterated in recent speeches. Mojtaba Khamenei, the leader's influential second son and deputy head of IRGC intelligence—not an official diplomat—remains a behind-the-scenes figure with no public record of engaging U.S. leaders, fueling speculation about potential backchannels amid post-election tensions like Iran's missile barrages on Israel. Traders weigh slim odds against Khamenei's firm stance, Trump's deal-making rhetoric, and upcoming inauguration on January 20, 2025, which could prompt early diplomatic signals or escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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