Market icon
地缘政治·至尊领袖

特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？

Market icon
地缘政治·至尊领袖

特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？

$222,170 交易量

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$222,170 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$215,849 交易量

2%

4月30日

$6,321 交易量

10%

6月30日

$0 交易量

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$222,170
结束日期
Apr 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

President-elect Donald Trump's longstanding maximum pressure campaign against Iran, including the 2020 assassination of Qasem Soleimani and withdrawal from the nuclear deal, shapes trader skepticism on direct talks with Mojtaba Khamenei, the Supreme Leader's influential son and rumored successor who oversees key Revolutionary Guard elements. No official statements, leaks, or diplomatic signals indicate outreach plans, amid heightened tensions from Iran's recent missile barrages on Israel and proxy escalations in the region. Trump's team, featuring Iran hawks, prioritizes sanctions, potential airstrikes, or nuclear redlines over bilateral engagement. Upcoming inauguration on January 20 and early foreign policy announcements could shift dynamics, but structural barriers like Iran's isolationist posture persist.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日"，概率为 21%，其次是"4月30日"，概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 21¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 21%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？"已产生 $222.2K 的总交易量（自Mar 11, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？"的当前领先者是"6月30日"，概率为 21%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 21%。紧随其后的结果是"4月30日"，概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。