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特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?

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特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?

23% chance
Polymarket

$45,599 交易量

23% chance
Polymarket

$45,599 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trump's repeated public statements declining to endorse any 2028 presidential candidate, including Vice President JD Vance, have solidified trader consensus at 77% against an endorsement before 2027. In recent post-election interviews on Fox News, the Joe Rogan podcast, and with Hugh Hewitt in December 2024, Trump emphasized focusing on his incoming administration's priorities amid cabinet confirmations and transition efforts, calling premature endorsements "too early." This aligns with his historical pattern of withholding support during active terms, as seen in past cycles, while praising Vance's role without committing. No official actions or announcements signal a shift, with traders pricing in sustained reluctance absent major catalysts like party primaries.

Trump's repeated public statements declining to endorse any 2028 presidential candidate, including Vice President JD Vance, have solidified trader consensus at 77% against an endorsement before 2027. In recent post-election interviews on Fox News, the Joe Rogan podcast, and with Hugh Hewitt in December 2024, Trump emphasized focusing on his incoming administration's priorities amid cabinet confirmations and transition efforts, calling premature endorsements "too early." This aligns with his historical pattern of withholding support during active terms, as seen in past cycles, while praising Vance's role without committing. No official actions or announcements signal a shift, with traders pricing in sustained reluctance absent major catalysts like party primaries.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trump's repeated public statements declining to endorse any 2028 presidential candidate, including Vice President JD Vance, have solidified trader consensus at 77% against an endorsement before 2027. In recent post-election interviews on Fox News, the Joe Rogan podcast, and with Hugh Hewitt in December 2024, Trump emphasized focusing on his incoming administration's priorities amid cabinet confirmations and transition efforts, calling premature endorsements "too early." This aligns with his historical pattern of withholding support during active terms, as seen in past cycles, while praising Vance's role without committing. No official actions or announcements signal a shift, with traders pricing in sustained reluctance absent major catalysts like party primaries.

Trump's repeated public statements declining to endorse any 2028 presidential candidate, including Vice President JD Vance, have solidified trader consensus at 77% against an endorsement before 2027. In recent post-election interviews on Fox News, the Joe Rogan podcast, and with Hugh Hewitt in December 2024, Trump emphasized focusing on his incoming administration's priorities amid cabinet confirmations and transition efforts, calling premature endorsements "too early." This aligns with his historical pattern of withholding support during active terms, as seen in past cycles, while praising Vance's role without committing. No official actions or announcements signal a shift, with traders pricing in sustained reluctance absent major catalysts like party primaries.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在2027年之前支持JD万斯竞选总统吗?",概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 23¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 23%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?"已产生 $45.6K 的总交易量(自Dec 22, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在2027年之前支持JD万斯竞选总统吗?",概率为 23%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在2027年之前支持JD Vance担任总统?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。