Market icon

到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？

Market icon

到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？

是

34% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

34% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% implied probability for the Powerball jackpot reaching $1 billion by May 31, driven by the current modest $166 million annuity estimate ahead of tonight's March 28 drawing—up from $148 million last Wednesday after another rollover with no grand prize winner. Recent drawings on March 21, 23, and 25 saw steady growth of $15-20 million per rollover amid typical ticket sales, but historical patterns show billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive no-wins from smaller starts, with acceleration only at massive hype levels. Roughly 20 drawings remain, yet traders anticipate an eventual winner interrupting the climb before the deadline, absent any viral sales surge. Watch upcoming results for momentum shifts.

Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% implied probability for the Powerball jackpot reaching $1 billion by May 31, driven by the current modest $166 million annuity estimate ahead of tonight's March 28 drawing—up from $148 million last Wednesday after another rollover with no grand prize winner. Recent drawings on March 21, 23, and 25 saw steady growth of $15-20 million per rollover amid typical ticket sales, but historical patterns show billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive no-wins from smaller starts, with acceleration only at massive hype levels. Roughly 20 drawings remain, yet traders anticipate an eventual winner interrupting the climb before the deadline, absent any viral sales surge. Watch upcoming results for momentum shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% implied probability for the Powerball jackpot reaching $1 billion by May 31, driven by the current modest $166 million annuity estimate ahead of tonight's March 28 drawing—up from $148 million last Wednesday after another rollover with no grand prize winner. Recent drawings on March 21, 23, and 25 saw steady growth of $15-20 million per rollover amid typical ticket sales, but historical patterns show billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive no-wins from smaller starts, with acceleration only at massive hype levels. Roughly 20 drawings remain, yet traders anticipate an eventual winner interrupting the climb before the deadline, absent any viral sales surge. Watch upcoming results for momentum shifts.

Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% implied probability for the Powerball jackpot reaching $1 billion by May 31, driven by the current modest $166 million annuity estimate ahead of tonight's March 28 drawing—up from $148 million last Wednesday after another rollover with no grand prize winner. Recent drawings on March 21, 23, and 25 saw steady growth of $15-20 million per rollover amid typical ticket sales, but historical patterns show billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive no-wins from smaller starts, with acceleration only at massive hype levels. Roughly 20 drawings remain, yet traders anticipate an eventual winner interrupting the climb before the deadline, absent any viral sales surge. Watch upcoming results for momentum shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Powerball头奖会在5月31日前达到10亿美元吗？"，概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 34¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 34%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Feb 9, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？"的当前领先者是"Powerball头奖会在5月31日前达到10亿美元吗？"，概率为 34%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"到5月31日，强力球大奖会达到10亿$吗？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。