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Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?

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Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,925,801 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,925,801 交易量

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire. If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire. If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚历克斯·霍诺尔德会徒手攀登台北101吗?",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?"已产生 $1.9 million 的总交易量(自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?"的当前领先者是"亚历克斯·霍诺尔德会徒手攀登台北101吗?",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Alex Honnold会免费独唱台北101吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。