Traders overwhelmingly back "None" at 97.8% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026—the feat of sweeping Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year—absent since Steffi Graf's 1988 Golden Slam, as recent seasons underscore surface specialization and volatility. Iga Swiatek's four straight French Open titles highlight clay mastery but grass/hardcourt limitations, while Aryna Sabalenka's 2024 Australian Open and US Open wins falter on dirt; Barbora Krejcikova's surprise Wimbledon triumph exemplifies upsets. Elena Rybakina's 1.5% share reflects her all-court power, 2022 Wimbledon crown, and strong hardcourt form, yet recent illness withdrawals and no multi-major year curb optimism. Realistic challengers would need injury-free dominance across surfaces amid grueling schedules, a rarity in WTA rankings flux.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,488,382 交易量
$1,488,382 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
无
98%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
2%
$1,488,382 交易量
$1,488,382 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
无
$1,405,629 交易量
98%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
$0 交易量
2%
This is a market to predict who will win a women's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders overwhelmingly back "None" at 97.8% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026—the feat of sweeping Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year—absent since Steffi Graf's 1988 Golden Slam, as recent seasons underscore surface specialization and volatility. Iga Swiatek's four straight French Open titles highlight clay mastery but grass/hardcourt limitations, while Aryna Sabalenka's 2024 Australian Open and US Open wins falter on dirt; Barbora Krejcikova's surprise Wimbledon triumph exemplifies upsets. Elena Rybakina's 1.5% share reflects her all-court power, 2022 Wimbledon crown, and strong hardcourt form, yet recent illness withdrawals and no multi-major year curb optimism. Realistic challengers would need injury-free dominance across surfaces amid grueling schedules, a rarity in WTA rankings flux.
This is a market to predict who will win a women's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
交易量
$1,488,382结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market to predict who will win a women's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders overwhelmingly back "None" at 97.8% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026—the feat of sweeping Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year—absent since Steffi Graf's 1988 Golden Slam, as recent seasons underscore surface specialization and volatility. Iga Swiatek's four straight French Open titles highlight clay mastery but grass/hardcourt limitations, while Aryna Sabalenka's 2024 Australian Open and US Open wins falter on dirt; Barbora Krejcikova's surprise Wimbledon triumph exemplifies upsets. Elena Rybakina's 1.5% share reflects her all-court power, 2022 Wimbledon crown, and strong hardcourt form, yet recent illness withdrawals and no multi-major year curb optimism. Realistic challengers would need injury-free dominance across surfaces amid grueling schedules, a rarity in WTA rankings flux.
This is a market to predict who will win a women's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,488,382结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly back "None" at 97.8% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026—the feat of sweeping Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year—absent since Steffi Graf's 1988 Golden Slam, as recent seasons underscore surface specialization and volatility. Iga Swiatek's four straight French Open titles highlight clay mastery but grass/hardcourt limitations, while Aryna Sabalenka's 2024 Australian Open and US Open wins falter on dirt; Barbora Krejcikova's surprise Wimbledon triumph exemplifies upsets. Elena Rybakina's 1.5% share reflects her all-court power, 2022 Wimbledon crown, and strong hardcourt form, yet recent illness withdrawals and no multi-major year curb optimism. Realistic challengers would need injury-free dominance across surfaces amid grueling schedules, a rarity in WTA rankings flux.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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