Trader consensus favors Petr Yan at 59.5% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bantamweight bout, driven by their 1-1 record—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's title-capturing victory at UFC 323 in December 2025—and recent statements from both fighters confirming a trilogy pursuit, with Yan noting it overrides other UFC 324 outcomes. Sean O'Malley (30.3%) and Umar Nurmagomedov (30.0%) trail closely as viable contenders, reflecting O'Malley's prior rivalry and Nurmagomedov's rising rankings amid Dvalishvili's stalled title reign. A broken nose injury suffered days ago has delayed Dvalishvili's octagon return, prompting a wrestling bout versus Henry Cejudo at RAF 08 on April 18, yet Yan remains the skin-in-the-game frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于彼得·扬 82%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫 26.4%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基 21.0%
宋亚东 20.0%
$11,309 交易量
$11,309 交易量
彼得·扬
72%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
26%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
21%
宋亚东
20%
亚历山大·潘托哈
3%
Payton Talbott
1%
罗布·芳特
14%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
艾曼·扎哈比
<1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
<1%
Sean O'Malley
26%
彼得·扬 82%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫 26.4%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基 21.0%
宋亚东 20.0%
$11,309 交易量
$11,309 交易量
彼得·扬
72%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
26%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
21%
宋亚东
20%
亚历山大·潘托哈
3%
Payton Talbott
1%
罗布·芳特
14%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
艾曼·扎哈比
<1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
<1%
Sean O'Malley
26%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Petr Yan at 59.5% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bantamweight bout, driven by their 1-1 record—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's title-capturing victory at UFC 323 in December 2025—and recent statements from both fighters confirming a trilogy pursuit, with Yan noting it overrides other UFC 324 outcomes. Sean O'Malley (30.3%) and Umar Nurmagomedov (30.0%) trail closely as viable contenders, reflecting O'Malley's prior rivalry and Nurmagomedov's rising rankings amid Dvalishvili's stalled title reign. A broken nose injury suffered days ago has delayed Dvalishvili's octagon return, prompting a wrestling bout versus Henry Cejudo at RAF 08 on April 18, yet Yan remains the skin-in-the-game frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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