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Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?

Market icon

Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?

$1,369,488 交易量

Mar 4, 2024
Polymarket

$1,369,488 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Alabama

$10,864 交易量

Yes

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Alaska

$106,250 交易量

Yes

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Arkansas

$31,742 交易量

Yes

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California

$173,012 交易量

Yes

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Colorado

$159,409 交易量

Yes

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Maine

$14,428 交易量

Yes

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Massachusetts

$33,740 交易量

Yes

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Minnesota

$93,121 交易量

Yes

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North Carolina

$57,625 交易量

Yes

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Oklahoma

$128,806 交易量

Yes

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Tennessee

$62,146 交易量

Yes

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Texas

$130,555 交易量

Yes

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Utah

$53,837 交易量

Yes

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Vermont

$233,416 交易量

No

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Virginia

$80,536 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the state's Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,369,488
结束日期
Mar 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2024, 1:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the state's Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alabama" at 100%, followed by "Alaska" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" is "Alabama" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alaska" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which Super Tuesday states will Trump win?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.