Market icon

Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?

AfD 100.0%

CDU/CSU <1%

SPD <1%

Greens <1%

Polymarket

$16,481,672 交易量

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union (Unionsparteien) or CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.

If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).

Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market.
交易量
$16,481,672
结束日期
Feb 23, 2025
创建时间
Dec 18, 2024, 12:11 PM ET
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union (Unionsparteien) or CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

Which Party wins 2nd most seats in German election?

AfD 100.0%

CDU/CSU <1%

SPD <1%

Greens <1%

Polymarket

$16,481,672 交易量

Market icon

CDU/CSU

$1,444,184 交易量

No

Market icon

SPD

$1,422,186 交易量

No

Market icon

Greens

$1,486,040 交易量

No

Market icon

BSW

$8,068,149 交易量

No

Market icon

Other

$2,551,038 交易量

No

Market icon

AfD

$1,510,074 交易量

Yes

警惕外部链接哦。